Archive
AfCFTA & Trade Policy

Uganda's Golden Illusion: Is Africa's Coffee Champion Running a Gold-Plated Deficit?
Exports are at record levels and coffee is booming, yet Uganda just posted the worst monthly trade gap in its history. Take gold out, and the picture changes completely.

China's Land Grab or Long Game? Inside Beijing's Infrastructure and Farmland Push Across Africa
China's Belt and Road financing into Africa didn't slow down in 2026 — it exploded. Chinese investment in Africa under the Belt and Road Initiative surged 254% to $33.5 billion in the first half of 2026, with Africa attracting 67.24% of…

The Graveyard of Good Ideas: How Africa's Election Cycles Are Quietly Bankrupting Its Future
Every four to seven years, across capitals from Dar es Salaam to Accra to Lusaka, a familiar ritual unfolds. A new administration is sworn in. Cameras flash. Promises are made about a "clean break" from the past. And within months, a…

THE CHINA PIVOT: Why Africa's Next Trade Boom Won't Speak English, French, or Portuguese
For thirty years, African agribusiness built its export playbook around one axis: ship west, meet the standard, take the price you're given. That axis is cracking. While Brussels tightens deforestation rules and Washington's tariff mood…

AfCFTA rules of origin: the quiet clause that could make or break agri-processing
Tariff schedules get the headlines, but value-addition thresholds will decide whether processing moves to the continent.
